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司法三等 105年 [監獄官] 法學知識與英文(包括中華民國憲法、法學緒論、英文)

第 47 題

📖 題組:
Some 66m years ago Earth was hit by a space rock reckoned to have been 10km across. The resulting chaos caused the extinction of dinosaurs and many other species, opening the way for the age of mammals-and ultimately humans. It also left a big hole in what is now southern Mexico. That hole is one of only three known of similar dimensions (the other two are Vredefort in South Africa and Sudbury in Canada). And this is odd. For, during the billions of years that Earth has had a solid crust, many more than three big asteroids might have been expected to have hit it. That thought led Brandon Johnson of the MIT and Timothy Bowling of Purdue University in Indiana, to wonder how many other craters have vanished, either by erosion or by being swallowed into Earth’s interior as its crust moves around, and therefore whether it is likely that some have survived and been overlooked. They have just published their analysis in Geology. Earth’s crust formed more than 4 billion years ago, but the oldest surviving blocks of it large enough to harbor craters date back only 3.5 billion years. What is known of the sizes and orbits of modern asteroids suggests that, if things have not changed over the aeons, about 14 big asteroids (defined as having a diameter of more than 7.4km, which would cause a crater at least 85km in diameter) should hit Earth every billion years. That means 49, give or take seven, over the past 3.5 billion years. Such impacts may have been more common in the past, when more big asteroids were around. Allowing for this, Earth would have been hit by 113, give or take 11, of them. Either way, a lot of craters are missing.
What can we infer about the missing craters?
  • A They never left any impact on Earth.
  • B They have not been completely eroded.
  • C They were far more than the surviving ones.
  • D They were hit by more than one asteroid.

思路引導 VIP

老師想請你思考一下:如果根據科學家的模型推算,在漫長的歷史中『應該』發生過上百次某種事件,但目前我們肉眼能觀察到的證據卻寥寥可數,那麼關於那些『找不到證據』的事件數量,與『找得到證據』的相比,你會得出什麼結論呢?

🤖
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🙄 嘖,看來你還不算太笨。

恭喜你,這題你勉強答對了。說明你至少還有點判斷能力,懂得在數據堆裡做點基本的對比乏味的邏輯推論

  1. 觀念驗證嘛,有什麼好說的?
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